## Thursday, April 02, 2020

### Study on COVID-19 Annualized Death Rate

Probably this is the first time you see a chart like this. When people hear COVID-19 death rate for older people is high, they panic. We did research and published a paper on COVID-19 death rate( Study on COVID-19 Annualized Death Rate). Please notice the death rates for COVID-19 are "annualized". But we have to look at things in context. When COVID-19 death rate is annualized, it can be compared with other statistical data that are on annual basis. This is the key contribution of our research.

Please click the chart for sharper view.

Only when COVID-19 death rate is annualized, it can be compared with other statistical data that are on annual basis. This is the key contribution of our research. The following are the conclusions.

Conclusions

We propose a method to calculate the annualized death rate (ADR) related to COVID-19. Based on ADR related to COVID-19 and the 2018 death rate for the population of the United States, we gain the following insights:
• Incremental annual death rates related to COVID-19 for age groups 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ are 0.4%, 1.2%, 2.2%, 3.1% and 6.0%， respectively.
• Percentages of incremental annual death rates related to COVID-19 for age groups 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ are 100.9%, 131.8%, 124.4%, 69.8% and 44.5%, respectively.
• If the herd immunity strategy is used in the United States, the incremental annual number of deaths related to COVID-19 for people equal to or older than 45 will be between 1.1 and 1.47 million.
• The PDF file for the paper can be downloaded Study on COVID-19 Annualized Death Rate